Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 862.319251 976.186990 1103.636060 1257.649978 1439.774804 1649.575718 1911.420813
2025-04-20 706.169982 859.835671 1048.745213 1301.494918 1636.104548 2071.634128 2694.564814
2025-04-27 616.552382 784.838339 1004.121289 1317.331463 1764.376436 2397.701675 3397.980469
2025-05-04 551.228186 726.585636 965.891679 1326.370758 1874.248063 2709.176453 4150.175979
2025-05-11 500.311991 678.730977 931.779643 1330.593858 1970.782168 3012.088883 4962.771948
2025-05-18 470.555682 655.794851 928.251297 1376.731268 2136.306660 3455.539458 6146.733100
2025-05-25 443.923131 633.565209 921.677129 1414.952504 2292.778010 3914.900235 7511.397905
2025-06-01 416.570198 606.827407 904.109066 1431.019797 2411.227344 4328.465783 8927.863302
2025-06-08 390.404974 579.039341 881.201546 1433.645935 2503.713999 4710.289316 10419.022247
2025-06-15 372.736005 562.924479 875.330440 1464.950459 2656.032060 5253.891135 12554.250361
2025-06-22 343.700003 525.561978 829.520446 1416.065339 2636.678836 5408.758137 13690.719030
2025-06-29 318.674036 492.892554 788.779865 1371.667415 2619.087663 5563.592601 14903.800562
2025-07-06 294.172388 459.817499 745.351685 1318.798805 2578.837323 5665.086202 16046.199618
2025-07-13 286.292630 454.804752 752.013172 1367.120004 2776.193211 6438.647797 20014.349922
2025-07-20 274.848547 442.517162 743.932551 1383.728082 2902.432829 7059.615050 23882.146149
2025-07-27 263.539068 429.556996 733.296790 1393.379469 3013.662187 7675.063182 28255.507180
2025-08-03 252.588394 416.410161 721.059893 1397.868849 3112.843540 8289.292496 33220.054312
2025-08-10 247.381418 413.424644 728.339842 1446.980803 3340.779003 9413.241054 42183.812892
2025-08-17 241.540485 408.775139 731.790780 1487.686170 3555.313322 10586.445656 53177.272694
2025-08-24 233.755052 399.843425 725.670228 1504.803248 3706.314594 11594.308088 64779.248450
2025-08-31 225.194453 388.829556 714.275829 1507.601271 3815.644056 12491.026075 77276.526088
2025-09-07 219.867112 383.784108 715.040123 1540.961280 4028.700188 13938.436523 98159.703153
2025-09-14 207.776735 364.581161 683.912987 1488.871620 3955.053154 14067.054289 105945.867459